SUNDAY, Febuary 5 The New York Giants just completed a startling three-game run through the NFC playoff jungle with a 3-0 mark ATS. En route they flustered the conference’s top two seeds as a road underdog. By contrast, the New England Patriots enjoyed a first-round bye and home playoff wins over underdogs Denver and Baltimore. Anyway, what’s to make of the Giants? Are they a dynamic force careening downhill or a physically and mentally exhausted bunch after climbing Super Bowl Mountain. Since 1997, momentum has trumped fatigue. The nine previous squads that went 3-0 ATS in the playoffs via the long route to the Super Bowl went a cumulative 8-0-1 ATS (6-3 SU) in the title game, including the Giants’ 17-14 upset of the perfect Patriots four years ago as a 12½-point underdog. Now for a closer look at Sunday’s games: Giants (12-7) vs. Patriots (15-3) Time: 3:29 p.m. PT Line: Patriots by 3 (54 OVER/UNDER) (2½ in a number of Vegas books) Facts: The Giants are the first team in history to get this far despite being outscored during the season. Twice they lost to (gasp!) the 5-11 Redskins. Then again, in 1995 Dallas was swept by a 6-10 Washington team but still was Super. The 2001 Patriots won rings despite being outgained 29.8 yards a game, the worst margin for a team that ever even reached a title game. They were +17.9 this year. Analysis: NE ringmaster Bill Belichick has won three titles, but he’s been no genius in head-to-heads with NYG boss Tom Coughlin, going 1-3 SU (0-4 ATS), including the Pats’ late Super meltdown four years ago. Coughlin’s first-year Jaguars even beat Belichick’s Browns in 1995 as 13½-point underdogs. Not to mention Belichick is only 10-15-2 ATS with an extra week to scheme (Coughlin 9-8-1). So, why not to take a Giants team that gave NE its lone home loss this season? Forecast: Giants 34, Patriots 21 Season totals: 135-121-9 ATS (.527) 155-110 straight up (.585)
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